Wednesday, March 26, 2008

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Friday, March 14, 2008

US Market Summary 14 Mar 08

Dow 12,145.74 +35.50 +0.29%
Nasdaq 2,263.61 +19.74 +0.88%
S&P 500 1,315.48 +6.71 +0.51%

A fractious Wall Street rebounded from an early plunge to finish moderately higher Thursday, after Standard & Poor's predicted financial companies are nearing the end of the massive asset write-downs that have devastated the stock and credit markets.

Rebound is not strong enough, thus I suggest to stay sidelines until clear signs are out. Asia market might open on a positive note, but rebound might be weak and cannot sustain through the second half of trading.

Thursday, March 13, 2008

US Market Summary 12 Mar 08

Dow 12,110.24 -46.57 -0.38%
Nasdaq 2,243.87 -11.89 -0.53%
S&P 500 1,308.77 -11.88 -0.90%

Southwest Airlines Co. canceled flights Wednesday and temporarily grounded 43 planes to examine if they were sound enough to carry passengers, the latest twist in the low-cost carrier's saga of missed safety inspections and civil penalties.

As mentioned in the US market summary report yesterday, it is a bear rally.
Hope some of you guys loaded puts or shorted with your CFD account when STI nearing 3000.
We will see some sharp selling today, lock in your profits early when market open and see how the market moves in the second half of trading.
My take is the market is still weak, take cautious approach today.

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

US Market Summary 11 Mar 08

Dow 12,156.81 +416.66 +3.55%
Nasdaq 2,255.76 +86.42 +3.98%
S&P 500 1,320.65 +47.28 +3.71%

The Fed promised a $200 billion booster shot for ailing markets -- and Wall Street answered with its biggest bounce in more than five years.

Take short long positions and offload when STI nearing 3000.
It will be a short rally as the rally in US market is too sharp.
Take short positions when STI nearing 3000.
Do not be trapped in this rally by panic buying.

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

US Market Summary 10 Mar 08

Dow 11,740.15 -153.54 -1.29%
Nasdaq 2,169.34 -43.15 -1.95%
S&P 500 1,273.37 -20.00 -1.55%

Wall Street sank Monday as oil's surge above $108 a barrel and more worrisome signs for the financial sector led investors to extend last week's losses. The Dow Jones industrial average fell more than 150 points, bringing its three-day loss to nearly 515, while broader indexes showed steeper percentage losses.

We will see Asia markets falling below their support today, take short positions today and close before first half of trading.
Take note not to overtrade as although the downtrend signs are there, you cannot expect the market to be predictable.
Stay sidelines for the second half of trading to monitor market sentiments

Saturday, March 8, 2008

US Market Summary 7 Mar 08

Dow 11,893.69 -146.70 -1.22%
Nasdaq 2,212.49 -8.01 -0.36%
S&P 500 1,293.37 -10.97 -0.84%

Wall Street ended a dreadful week with another big loss Friday after the government surprised investors with a report that employers eliminated 63,000 jobs last month. The news compounded fears that the U.S. economy, already hampered by an unrelenting credit crisis, is succumbing to recession.

As advised yesterday, the US market is unpredictable and after a series of roller coaster rides, it ended with another dreadful Friday. Monitor your shorts closely, as the market is unstable at the moment. If STI is unable to maintain the support of 2800, it will go on a downtrend, buy puts to hold if that is the case.

Friday, March 7, 2008

US Market Summary 6 Mar 08

Dow 12,040.39 -214.60 -1.75%
Nasdaq 2,220.50 -52.31 -2.30%
S&P 500 1,304.34 -29.36 -2.20%

Stocks tumbled Thursday as the ailing credit market and a spike in home foreclosures intensified the market's worries about a sagging economy. The Dow Jones industrials gave up 214 points.

Do not load anything today although it seems to be going downtrend for the weekends.
US market seems to be erratic and may rebound tonight.
Thus stay on the sideline for the time being.

Thursday, March 6, 2008

US Market Summary 5 Mar 08

Dow 12,254.99 +41.19 +0.34%
Nasdaq 2,272.81 +12.53 +0.55%
S&P 500 1,333.70 +6.95 +0.52%

Oil surged Wednesday, rising a remarkable $5 a barrel to a new record over $104 after the government reported a surprise drop in crude oil stockpiles and OPEC held production levels steady.

Judging from the US market yesterday, Asia markets should recover some after having too oversold.
Commodities stocks should rebound fast with index stocks, load some for selling off before market close.

Wednesday, March 5, 2008

US Market Summary 4 Mar 08

Dow 12,213.80 -45.10 -0.37%
Nasdaq 2,260.28 +1.68 +0.07%
S&P 500 1,326.75 -4.59 -0.34%

Wall Street closed mixed Tuesday, recuperating from a sharp plunge as investors snapped up bargain stocks on rumors that a bond insurer rescue plan is progressing and upbeat comments from Cisco Systems Inc.

We should see some rebounding from the Asia Markets today as it is getting too oversold.
Load small lots of index counters like Singtel etc, and take proper cut loss procedure should it continue to drop more.

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Tuesday, March 4, 2008

US Market Summary 3 Mar 08

Dow 12,258.90 -7.49 -0.06%
Nasdaq 2,258.60 -12.88 -0.57%
S&P 500 1,331.34 +0.71 +0.05%

Wall Street closed narrowly mixed Monday as investors wrestled with record-high commodities prices and data that pointed to a continually weakening economy.

Asia should be negative in today's session as well, stay side lined until we see whether there is any support.
If you have time to monitor closely, play some intra day puts to earn some quick bucks.
Market still bearish for short term.

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Monday, March 3, 2008

US market summary 29 Feb 08

Dow 12,266.39 -315.79 -2.51%
Nasdaq 2,271.48 -60.09 -2.58%
S&P 500 1,330.63 -37.05 -2.71%

If you remove Friday from this week's trading action, it was a reasonably good week for the market. However, unlike some economic reports, there are no exclusions when computing the returns that matter for equity investors. Friday counts just like the other days, and because it does, this week will go down as a losing one in the record books.

But this steep fall on Friday would definitely have an impact on the opening of the Asia markets on Monday. Stay on the sideline while observing how the week will turn out.

Friday, February 29, 2008

US Market Summary 28 Feb 08

Dow 12,582.18 -112.10 -0.88%
Nasdaq 2,331.57 -22.21 -0.94%
S&P 500 1,367.68 0.00 0.00%

Oil prices surpassed $103 a barrel for the first time Friday as persistent weakness in the U.S. dollar and the prospect of lower interest rates attracted fresh money to the oil market.

Thursday, February 28, 2008

US Market Summary 27 Feb 08

Dow 12,694.28 +9.36 +0.07%
Nasdaq 2,353.78 +8.79 +0.37%
S&P 500 1,380.02 -1.27 -0.09%

Wall Street finished mixed in another seesaw session Wednesday after regulators allowed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to buy more mortgages and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said the central bank will remain vigilant about the weakened economy.

Look out for Asia markets as US close mixed, Nikkei opened red and thus STI and HSI should follow suit.
Wait for sure signs before going into market again.
Profit taking should take place when market open and second half of trading should be a crucial point in determining market sentiments.

Wednesday, February 27, 2008

US Market Summary 26 Feb 08

Dow 12,684.92 +114.70 +0.91%
Nasdaq 2,344.99 +17.51 +0.75%
S&P 500 1,381.29 +9.49 +0.69%

It's a toxic economic mix the nation hasn't seen in three decades: Prices are speeding upward at the fastest pace in a quarter century, even as the economy loses steam.

Asia markets will rally, expect to see blue chips run today.
Look out for index stocks like Singtel, Wilmar and maybe even China stocks.
Synear may bounce off its lows yesterday.

Sell off before the end of the day and load some puts as Fed Chairman Ben is speaking tonight. Expect some pullback in the US market tonight.

Tuesday, February 26, 2008

US Market Summary 25 Feb 08

Dow 12,570.22 +189.20 +1.53%
Nasdaq 2,327.48 +24.13 +1.05%
S&P 500 1,371.80 +18.69 +1.38%

Wall Street bolted higher Monday after Standard & Poor's affirmed its ratings for Ambac Financial Group Inc. and MBIA Inc., raising hopes that troubled bond insurers will emerge from the credit market crisis on solid footing.

We will see Asia markets rally today, take note of HSI as it is still quite bearish. Unless it is still strong in the second half of the trading, if not stick to intra day trading.

Take note of commodities counters like Golden Agri and Indoagri.

Monday, February 25, 2008

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Saturday, February 23, 2008

US Market Summary 22 Feb 08

Dow 12,381.02 +96.72 +0.79%
Nasdaq 2,303.35 +3.57 +0.16%
S&P 500 1,353.11 +10.58 +0.79%

Wall Street staged a dramatic turnaround Friday, shooting higher in the last half-hour of trading after word that a bailout plan for troubled bond insurer Ambac Financial could be announced next week.

This is really a dramatic turnaround as the last 30 min saw a steep rise from the charts. I'm betting on the actual rally of the STI market next week as the news of Singapore hosting 2010 Youth Olympics will take effect.
Property and Hotel stocks will be in play, so look out for stocks like Yongnam, Wee Hur and Koh Bros.
I will post some stock picks soon.

Friday, February 22, 2008

US Market Summary 21 Feb 08

Dow 12,284.30 -142.96 -1.15%
Nasdaq 2,299.78 -27.32 -1.17%
S&P 500 1,342.53 -17.50 -1.29%

The stock market finished with a sharp loss Thursday after bleak readings on the economy heightened investors' fears of recession. The Dow Jones industrial average fell more than 140 points.

It would be interesting to see how Asia market would react to the US market as it fell even though US market is up the day before.
Furthermore, the news of Singapore winning the host for the Youth Olympic yesterday should be a catalyst for a property and hotel play today.
We shall see how Asia defend against the red.

Thursday, February 21, 2008

US Market Summary 20 Feb 08

Dow 12,427.26 +90.04 +0.73%
Nasdaq 2,327.10 +20.90 +0.91%
S&P 500 1,360.03 +11.25 +0.83%

Stocks came off early losses to finish higher Wednesday as investors set aside some concerns about the economy after finding reassurance that the Federal Reserve remains committed to stoking growth before worrying about inflation.

Asia markets will rally strongly today due to gains from the US market.
I predict HSI especially will be particularly strong today, thus load on china stocks today for the rally and sell off before the end of the day as the market is still very unstable at the time being.
Short term: uptrend

Wednesday, February 20, 2008

US Market Summary 19 Feb 08

Dow 12,337.22 -10.99 -0.09%
Nasdaq 2,306.20 -15.60 -0.67%
S&P 500 1,348.78 -1.21 -0.09%

Wall Street gave up a big early advance and closed mixed Tuesday after oil prices closed above $100 for the first time and stoked fears that inflation will stymie an already troubled economy.

Asia markets should dip in the morning following weakness in the US market.
But penny stocks will continue to run today in STI as blue chips especially financial sector should suffer today.
Go into breakouts and exit before the end of the day for quick profits.

Monday, February 18, 2008

Stock Picks: Lottvis, Oculus, Mediaring

As mentioned in the previous post, I have been monitoring the small caps recently and seen a spike in the volume for most small caps.
Normally this signals a start of the pennies rally as we should be able to see the top 10 active stocks to be dominated by them in the coming week ahead.
Below are the recommendations:

1. Lottvis

As you can see from the chart, accumulation can be seen distinctly as the volume spiked up on last Friday. We shall expect it to breakout if it crosses 0.17, support at 0.14.

2. Oculus

This stock has been the talk for quite a while as it plans to diversify its business by acquiring Aretae which is doing the carbon credit business. Recently on Feb 6, it announced that it was acquiring ophthalmic solutions patents and licensing contracts from Advanced Ocular Systems (AOS) for $29.9 million in cash and shares.

The accumulation portion is the same with Lottvis, except we may hear some news regarding their results of the RTO. This stock can go either way, thus before the news is out, I advise all to go in fast and sell off fast for a quick profit.

3. Mediaring

This stock has similar accumulation pattern to the previous 2 stocks, but the volume of accumulation is in much larger quantities.
It is always one of the targets for pennies breakout and the pattern is clear again.
Go in fast and sell off fast for a quick profit as you would not expect it to go up in value in times to come.

Every time we go into penny stocks rally, it is always clear that we are encountering a downturn soon. This is due to the fact that the blue chips prices are not attractive anymore and investors would like to cash in to load something which is much profitable in intra day situations.
Therefore, do take note of signals whereby the market is coming down again.
I'm on the bearish side for the time being.

Sunday, February 17, 2008

US Market Summary 15 Feb 08

Dow 12,348.21 -28.77 -0.23%
Nasdaq 2,321.80 -10.74 -0.46%
S&P 500 1,349.99 +1.13 +0.08%

US market ended flat as all are unsure on whether this week is a dead cats' rebound or whether market is bottoming. Asia markets should open green on Monday but all will be uncertain as profit taking will be in place in the second half of the trading.

Take note of the small caps as pennies started to rally since last week. We should be able to see more of it this coming week as well.
I will post some pennies recommendation later.
So stay tuned to the blog.

Friday, February 15, 2008

US Market Summary 14 Feb 08

Dow 12,376.98 -175.26 -1.40%
Nasdaq 2,332.54 -41.39 -1.74%
S&P 500 1,348.86 -18.35 -1.34%

Wall Street retreated Thursday after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke predicted a "sluggish" economy until later in the year and more mortgage-related losses at banks. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 175 points.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke did it again as his comments send the market to end on a negative note yesterday.
We will see Asia markets opening red and the afternoon trading session might be a test on how STI will close on Budget Day

Thursday, February 14, 2008

Asia Markets Rally

Asia Markets rallied as we see Nikkei and TWI went up 4% to mark a green day.
Europe markets also opened green as hopes are high for US market to end on a positive note tonight.

I'm inching towards the green as charts show that when Dow closed above 12500 yesterday.
But Ben is speaking tonight about the jobless claims and this might affect the market sentiments tonight.

US Market Summary 13 Feb 08

Dow 12,552.24 +178.83 +1.45%
Nasdaq 2,373.93 +53.89 +2.32%
S&P 500 1,367.21 +18.35 +1.36%

Wall Street moved sharply higher Wednesday after the Commerce Department reported an unexpected increase in retail sales last month and eased some concerns about consumers' willingness to spend despite economic uncertainty.

Asia markets rallied in the first half of the day with Nikkei and TWI breaking new highs. The second half of the trading day would be determining whether we will close with a bullish week ahead as well.

Wednesday, February 13, 2008

US Market Summary 12 Feb 08

Dow 12,373.41 +133.40 +1.09%
Nasdaq 2,320.04 -0.02 -0.00%
S&P 500 1,348.86 +9.73 +0.73%

Billionaire investor Warren Buffett's offer to help insure municipal bonds assuaged some of the broader market's credit concerns Tuesday, but the troubled bond insurers may have little interest in extra coverage for their best assets.

A sharp recovery from the US Market would see the same thing for Asia markets as well. We may possibly see the same recovery strength for HSI too, and STI may stretch the rally until 15 Feb which is Budget day.

Pennies will continue to run today, go in and exit fast for a quick punt. Do not take overnight positions as retail sales figures may sink US market tonight.

Tuesday, February 12, 2008

US Market Summary 11 Feb 08

Dow 12,240.01 +57.88 +0.48%
Nasdaq 2,320.06 +15.21 +0.66%
S&P 500 1,339.13 +7.84 +0.59%

Yahoo Inc.'s rejection of Microsoft Corp.'s unsolicited takeover bid left investors guessing the next move in a tense mating dance that may hatch a more imposing challenger to Google Inc. or disintegrate into a bruising brawl.

Asia markets suffer another major downfall yesterday as we should see things picking up today. Market trend is still in bearish mood as any negative news will send market tumbling now.

Trade with care and close any positions before end of the day.

Monday, February 11, 2008

Don't lose your head (or your shirt) in market turmoil

IN A few heart-stopping moments on Jan 22, marketing manager Henry Foo, 30, saw the value of his stock portfolio plunge from $100,000 to $82,100.

When he did an online check of his $150,000 unit trust portfolio, there was more bad news - it had dipped by about $10,000 in value.

He and many other Singapore investors have witnessed a large portion of their investment values wiped out in a matter of days.

The culprit, of course, is the United States sub-prime mortgage crisis where thousands of high-risk borrowers have defaulted on loans. This sparked global credit worries that cascaded through to equity markets.

As investors braced themselves for a battering, Asian stock markets took a beating on Jan 21, with Singapore suffering its worst one-day fall since Black Monday in October 1987, plunging by 6 per cent to 2,917.15 points.

Blue chips were not spared, with counters such as bourse operator Singapore Exchange crashing to $8.10 on Jan 22. Its price on Oct 8 was $17.20.

Fearing the worst, investors had to decide if they should hold their positions or cut their losses. Many regretted not cashing out when the market peaked in November.

Why investors panic

MOST people like to imagine they are rational and logical when it comes to serious matters such as investment - but human nature dictates otherwise.

The chief executive of ipac Wealth Management Asia, Mr Gary Harvey, says it is easy to understand how the ups and downs of the stock market create emotional responses.

"We fear that when markets go down, they will fall further and we will lose money. During a market decline, most investors sell their portfolio as they are motivated by a fear that the market will not recover," he says.

IPP Financial Advisers investment director Albert Lam says investors usually panic for one or more of the following reasons:

> A weak level of confidence in their investments as they did not do their research properly before buying them.

> Overexposure to certain investments due to inappropriate asset allocation or not diversifying adequately.

> The influences of market sentiment - such as fear and panic - instead of weighing up facts about the economy and investments.

> Forced selling kicking in when shares hit margin calls. This would be an issue for investors who borrow money to buy these shares but do not have the cash to top up their loans.

> "Shorting" of securities where investors sell shares they do not own as they believe the market will fall and they can later buy the shares at lower prices. However, if they are wrong and the market rises instead, they are forced to buy the shares at higher prices to cover their short positions.

Mr Lam says that investors should firstly ascertain whether there is a valid reason to sell quickly. "If the reason is invalid and he had previously done his research appropriately and engaged the services of a competent financial planner to draw up his asset allocation, chances of him panicking would be reduced greatly."

If the foundation for the investment decision is still intact, there is no valid reason to sell quickly - regardless of what is happening in the market.

How to stay calm

THIS tricky topic of dealing with market volatility was of vital interest to the 1,800 participants who attended an investment seminar organised by online unit trust distributor Fundsupermart recently.

Fundsupermart general manager and seminar speaker Wong Sui Jau has one important piece of advice: Remember that markets always recover.

"Markets cannot drop 5 to 10 per cent every day. Have faith that markets and economies are self-correcting, they won't go down forever," he says.

In fact, Mr Lam advises that quite often, market selldowns present buying opportunities for the calm investor. This means that if there is an investment which you believe is fundamentally good, then you have an opportunity to buy in at a lower price.

Here are some tips on staying calm regardless of market conditions:

> Diversification

Spreading your investment across many assets helps to eliminate some risk. This is because as we add more securities to a portfolio, the exposure to any particular source of risk becomes smaller.

This is why most financial experts typically recommend unit trusts as an investment tool as each fund comprises large numbers of securities across different asset classes such as bonds, property, resources and equity. Different classes get different weightages, depending on their prospects.

> Keep investing

A speaker at the Fundsupermart seminar, Aberdeen Asset Management Asia's senior investment manager of Asian equities, Ms Flavia Cheong, says she believes in the advantages of investing consistently. In fact, she plans to be "more aggressive" in her investing now that the markets are more volatile, and look for value buys.

Mr Harvey notes that the markets are difficult to predict and can move quickly. Also people generally lack a sensible framework for going into and out of the market - so fear and greed play out.

A case in point was the market selldown in the May to June period last year when the benchmark Straits Times Index (STI) slid by about 14.5 per cent, spooked by fears over interest rate hikes. However, the STI ended at 2,991 at year-end, up 12 per cent from the May to June period.

Says Mr Lam: "There were some clients who liquidated their investments totally during the correction. Very few who did so know when to re-enter the market. For clients who decided to ride out the volatility, the value of their investments would have been higher by the end of the year."

This shows that timing the market is difficult and dealing with market sentiment is tough. Usually, investors reason that prices will fall further when markets look low, which prevents them from taking up buying opportunities. Most investors will re-enter the market only when prices move back up. But by then, they could have missed the best prices.

Says Mr Lam: "Therefore, a more practical strategy is to stay invested if an investor thinks it is only a correction and not a change in trend.

"However, if he ascertains it is a change in trend from a bull to a bear market, he must review and re-strategise his portfolio to go defensive, such as having more fixed income assets."

> Maintain a long-term perspective

Research over many years has shown that equities rise over time and will outperform cash and bonds and give some protection against inflation.

By investing in and remaining invested in equities, investors can benefit from this trend, says Mr Harvey.

"To survive volatility and prosper during the inevitable recovery, a good investor should have a portfolio that has three strong elements - quality, value and diversity. And then, given a period of time, he would be able to reap better than average returns."

> Talk to your financial adviser

Speaking to your adviser during market volatility will help you avoid making potential mistakes resulting from emotions such as fear and greed.

Sunday, February 10, 2008

US Market Summary 8 Feb 08

Dow 12,182.13 -64.87 -0.53%
Nasdaq 2,304.85 +11.82 +0.52%
S&P 500 1,331.29 -5.62 -0.42%

Weekly Recap - Week ending 08-Feb-08

What the market giveth, it also taketh away. Fortunately, it has given a lot more than it has taken through the years, but in the past week it wasn't in much of a giving mood at all.

The major indices suffered sharp losses and essentially gave back the prior week's gains, which is saying something considering that the Dow, Nasdaq, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 surged 4.4%, 3.7%, 4.9% and 6.1%, respectively, in the prior week.

The past week started out in expected fashion, which is to say Monday's session was governed by profit taking that transpired in an orderly fashion. That deliberate effort, though, soon gave way to heightened selling interest when a remarkably weak ISM Services report on Tuesday reignited recession concerns.

With respect to the latter report, the Institute for Supply Management's business activity index showed a stunning drop to 41.9 from 54.4 in December. Under a new computation methodology, the non-manufacturing index, which is the new composite reading for this report, checked in at 44.6. A number below 50 signifies contraction. In the case of the January number, it marked the first contraction in the services sector in nearly five years.

This report, which typically doesn't show such dramatic swings, sparked a broad-based wave of selling activity that was exacerbated by the specter of bond insurer downgrades and the residual impact on the financial sector, which plummeted 8.6% this week. On Tuesday alone, the Dow dropped 370 points, the Nasdaq declined 73 points and the S&P 500 plunged 44 points.

Thursday, February 7, 2008

US Market Summary 6 Feb 08

Dow 12,200.10 -65.03 -0.53%
Nasdaq 2,278.75 -30.82 -1.33%
S&P 500 1,326.45 -10.19 -0.76%

Wall Street pulled back for the third straight day Wednesday as investors still uneasy about the economy sold off after a Federal Reserve official suggested rising inflation could prevent the central bank from making further interest rate cuts.

There seems like some buying interest before the investors cash out on uncertain grounds as they do not want to keep stocks overnight.
To the Asia markets which are closed until reopening on Monday, it is only important how Dow fares on Friday itself.

So wishing all of you a Happy Chinese New Year!

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Wednesday, February 6, 2008

US Market Summary 5 Feb 08

Dow 12,265.13 -370.03 -2.93%
Nasdaq 2,309.57 -73.28 -3.08%
S&P 500 1,336.64 -44.18 -3.20%

Wall Street plunged Tuesday, driving the Dow Jones industrials down 370 points after investors saw an unexpected contraction in the service sector as evidence the economy is sinking into recession.

There will be panic selling across the Asia market today as there is only half day trading for today. Take up short positions and buy puts to cash in at the end of the day.

Tuesday, February 5, 2008

US Market Summary 4 Feb 08

Dow 12,635.16 -108.03 -0.85%
Nasdaq 2,382.85 -30.51 -1.26%
S&P 500 1,380.82 -14.60 -1.05%

Wall Street retrenched Monday, closing sharply lower as investors showed their cautious side and cashed in profits from the market's best week in nearly five years. The Dow Jones industrial average fell more than 100 points.

As expected, US market closed on a negative note but this is just a cautious drop as people are uncertain what lies ahead in this week.
Asia markets might open red today, but there is a high chance of a rebound this afternoon. Buy on the dips and sell on the highs, sell off everything if the trend for the second half of the day is still going down.

Saturday, February 2, 2008

US Market Summary 1 Feb 08

Dow 12,743.19 +92.83 +0.73%
Nasdaq 2,413.36 +23.50 +0.98%
S&P 500 1,395.42 +16.87 +1.22%

After volatile trading on Friday, stocks proved to be resilient by ending on a high note. The stock market's 1.2% gain today capped off a strong 4.9% gain for the week.

Traders were encouraged that the stock market was able to hold up in the face of a worse than expected jobs reading. Word of the largest tech acquisition in history and a better than expected manufacturing reading helped sentiment.

Next Monday is the crux of whether the week ahead is uptrend or downtrend. We can expect a strong buying frenzy on the first half of trading. If the Asia Markets are able to end on a positive note on Monday, we can expect an uptrend for the rest of the week. Dow might end on a flat or negative note on Monday, as I predict profit taking after going up so much. Load up some strong stocks like Singtel etc on down, and hold it for mid term gains. If selling occurs on Monday afternoon, offload it at once.

Friday, February 1, 2008

US Market Summary 31 Jan 08

Dow 12,650.36 +207.53 +1.67%
Nasdaq 2,389.86 +40.86 +1.74%
S&P 500 1,378.55 +22.74 +1.68%

The US major indices were able to rally, despite opening sharply lower in the wake of a disappointing unemployment claim report. Sentiment was lifted due to a bond insurer's positive outlook. This is in contrast to Wednesday, when concerns over bond insurers caused the stock market to give up all of its FOMC induced gains.

Asia markets would rally today but as it is Friday, do not take any overnight positions . Buy on weakness and sell on strength.
We would be able to see whether market is able to recover next week or volatility will continue.

Thursday, January 31, 2008

US Market Summary 30 Jan 08

Dow 12,442.83 -37.47 -0.30%
Nasdaq 2,349.00 -9.06 -0.38%
S&P 500 1,355.81 -6.49 -0.48%

A still-anxious Wall Street closed lower Wednesday, sacrificing the advance it made after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates half a percentage point. Investors collected profits after nearly three sessions of big gains, unwilling to leave money on the table amid ongoing economic uncertainty.

We can really see from the US Market closing that people are still not confident about the current market and choose to cash in on profits, instead of buying up.
Although Fed cut interest rate by half a percentage point, this is already expected and thus factored in the last few trading days.
We will expect a roller coaster ride of volatility these few days, thus it is better to trade intra day to be on the safe side. Follow the market trend and go with the market sentiments.

Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Live streaming index online now

I have just included streaming live indices of the world market on my blog, hope it benefits every one.

US Market Summary 29 Jan 08

Dow 12,480.30 +96.41 +0.78%
Nasdaq 2,358.06 +8.15 +0.35%
S&P 500 1,362.30 +8.33 +0.62%

The stock market rallied reportedly because an ugly new home sales report increased the chances the Fed would cut by 50 basis points at this week's FOMC meeting. If logic holds, then, the stock market should have suffered a good-sized sell-off on Tuesday since the December Durable Orders report was much stronger than expected and reduced the probability of a 50 basis point cut.

That logic, however, didn't hold. In fact, what should have happened, happened. The stock market rallied on the encouraging economic release that suggested the economy is not entering a recession.

It seems funny how US depend on the hope of cutting 50 basis point to rally these few days. Will we see another event again whereby Ben cut less than expected?
We will only see the clear picture tonight as Fed would announce how much they are going to cut.

Meanwhile, stay with intra day trading and sell off any positions before market closes.

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

US Market Summary 28 Jan 08

Dow 12,383.89 +176.72 +1.45%
Nasdaq 2,349.91 +23.71 +1.02%
S&P 500 1,353.97 +23.36 +1.76%

A jittery Wall Street advanced Monday, reversing some of Friday's sharp losses as investors took a dismal new home sales report as a sign the Federal Reserve will lower rates this week.

Those who bought at a low yesterday should take the chance to sell this morning as weakness can still be seen in the US Market.
Selling should continue in the afternoon for Asian market as few would want to take overnight positions given such a volatile week.

Sunday, January 27, 2008

2008 Stock Picks by OCBC Investment Research

OCBC Investment Research came up with 12 stock picks as above for 2008.
Personally, I have quite a few friends telling me how good Cacola is, and I have done some research on it.
I would say that in terms of business, it is similar to Man Wah but in terms on potential, I would rate it much better than Man Wah.
Thus, it would be quite worth it to invest in the current price as the fair value indicated is 0.75.

The detailed report of Cacola by OCBC Investment Research is as follows:

Cacola: It recently impressed with a 89.4% YoY surge in 3Q07 net profit on the back of a 26.0% rise in revenue. OCBC Investment Research says Cacola is a beneficiary of China’s booming economy, as studies have estimated that the growth of home furnishings in China will outpace GDPgrowth by 3%-4%.

It enjoys a low cost manufacturing base in Dongguan, and uses readily-available materials for its products, making it less susceptible to fluctuations in raw materials’ prices, says OCBC.

Cacola’s geographical reach has multiplied since 2000, and it plans to intensify its presence in major cities by setting up more mega stores and a new home-deco centre.

Cacola is trading at an attractively low 6.2x FY07 PER and has reported a higher profit margin than its peers, notes OCBC.

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US Market Summary 25 Jan 08

Dow 12,207.17 -171.44 -1.38%
Nasdaq 2,326.20 -34.72 -1.47%
S&P 500 1,330.61 -21.46 -1.59%

Just when you thought market is bottoming, US had a big drop again on Friday.
Signalling a volatile market in the week ahead yet again.
I hope most of you guys have cleared everything on Friday as advised and if next Monday Asia markets are not able to hold strong, I will consider loading HSI index puts again.

Friday, January 25, 2008

US Market Summary 24 Jan 08

Dow 12,378.61 +108.44 +0.88%
Nasdaq 2,360.92 +44.51 +1.92%
S&P 500 1,352.07 +13.47 +1.01%

US rallied as Congressional leaders announced a deal with the White House Thursday on an economic stimulus package that would give most tax filers refunds of $600 to $1,200, and more if they have children.
Ride on the index call warrants and same strategy as always, sell before market closes as uncertainty will be there since today is Friday.

Thursday, January 24, 2008

US Market Summary 23 Jan 08

Dow 12,270.17 +298.98 +2.50%
Nasdaq 2,316.41 +24.14 +1.05%
S&P 500 1,338.60 +28.10 +2.14%

Talking about volatility, DOW did a big U turn from a low of near -300 to a positive of near +300.
Prepare to see the Asia market rally today as it might be able to sustain until Friday.
Same advice as always, buy at the opening and sell before market close, do not take overnight positions as you do not know when US will do another reversal.

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Technical Rebound in Asia as poor futures point to Lower open for US

It was an emphatic rebound today for Asia markets as I hope most people cash in on this rise as advised.
Disappointing reports from big names like Apple Inc. and Motorola Inc and poor futures indicate a lower open for the US Market.
If Asia market fail to substain the gains tomorrow, I would advise you to continue shorting or buying index put warrants.

It would be crucial as traders speculate how much more will Fed cut next week, I feel that no matter Fed cut another .25 or .5, we would definitely see a much worst market unless there is any concrete plans to tackle the current situation.

US Market Summary 22 Jan 08

Dow 11,971.19 -128.11 -1.06%
Nasdaq 2,292.27 -47.75 -2.04%
S&P 500 1,310.50 -14.69 -1.11%

Although US close red yesterday, it recovered 300 pts from -465 to -128.11.
If you still have HSI puts, sell before market open as the trend has changed, all indexes set to rebound.
As I mentioned the other time, this technical rebound will be fast and furious, thus load HSI call warrants on lows and sell on highs.

To further reinforce the point that HSI will rebound, here's an excerpt from that HKMA has cut the base rate by .75 to match fed rate cut.

HONG KONG (XFN-ASIA) - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) said it has cut the base rate for its discount window by 75 basis points to 5.0 pct, following a similar cut overnight in the US federal funds rate.

The HKMA generally follows the Fed's interest rate adjustments as Hong Kong's currency is pegged to the US dollar. The HKMA base rate is the reference rate for lending overnight funds to local banks.

The Fed's policy-making body, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), cut its target for the federal funds rate to 3.5 pct from 4.25 pct.

Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Fed slashes interest rates

Talking about doing the wrong things at the wrong time: The Federal Reserve on Tuesday slashed benchmark U.S. interest rates by a hefty three-quarters of a percentage point in an emergency bid to lend support to a U.S. economy some fear is on the verge of recession.

The Fed's action took the key federal funds rate, which governs overnight lending between banks down to 3.5 percent, its lowest level since September 2005. The Fed also lowered the discount rate it charges on direct loans to banks to 4 percent.

This further strengthens the point of US economy is already in recession, tomorrow we will definitely see the Asia markets dip to new lows.
For those who purchase HSI put warrants today, prepare to cash in tomorrow morning on the gap up.

Tackling Current Market Strategy

As the bloodshed spilled on the Asian market yesterday, you can see that more downside can be seen as both STI and HSI broke their support point.

Today, I expected Asian market to go down more as US market will factor in the drop tonight. Thus buy some index put warrant when market seems to rebound today e.g. HSI put warrant with expiry date in February with considerably high volume transacted. Although I don't encourage holding on to any stocks or warrants in this volatile period, I guess it should be safe to sell tomorrow for some profits.
Cut loss if the trend is reversing.

Sunday, January 20, 2008

What not to do when planning your retirement

Sun, Jan 20, 2008
The Straits Times

RETIREMENT planning is not a topic that gets the heart beating faster, and sadly it is all too clear that Singaporeans do not want much to do with it.

However, with 20 per cent of the population expected to be over 65 by 2030, it is equally clear that people here need to start planning early for their golden years.

No one can claim they have not been reminded of the need to start planning as such wake-up calls are constantly aired in Singapore.

And it is not as though Singaporeans lack financial options. Many of these were outlined at the recent Silver Industry Conference and Exhibition (Sicex) at Suntec City.

The event explored opportunities for an ageing Asia and tackled issues like how to make financial plans for a long life.

It was apt that the inaugural event was held in Singapore, given the urgency of the problem facing Singaporeans.

An annual AXA survey found that Singaporeans lagged behind Americans in retirement preparation, with only about half of the working people in the Republic preparing for the time when they would have to stop working. Those who do start planning, do so at an average age of 34.

In the United States, 79 per cent of working Americans start their planning from age 30. In Asia, Filipinos begin retirement planning the earliest - at just 28.

Financial experts at Sicex point out some of the key challenges: Singaporeans now live longer and have heightened health and lifestyle aspirations; yet, most want to achieve financial independence early.

It is all easier said than done, so take note of these eight mistakes to avoid:

1. Not writing out goals or defining your dreams

HOW often do we hear of someone whose idea of retirement planning is to toss some money into a couple of investments and hope for the best?

Such laid-back attitudes are common among those who have not taken the time to consider where they are headed.

Financial planner David Strege, who participated at the Sicex, said people need to understand why they are working and what they want to accomplish.

Conference speaker, Dr Robert Merton, a Nobel laureate in economics, says people should first focus on their life goals when they plan for their golden years - how much they want to leave their kids and the quality of life they want in retirement.

Investors should diversify their portfolios, making sure to keep costs down, Prof Merton said.

2. Not understanding where you are at

THIS means defining your assets and liabilities and knowing your cash flow - income and expenses.

It is a basic step in money management. You cannot plan for the future without knowing where you are now.

It also helps if you work out how to plug the gap between where you are now and where you want to be in the future.

3. Not understanding how to manage expenses

FOR most people, financial independence starts from being able to manage their expenses.

Choosing to increase income or decrease expenses, for example, will yield excess funds for investing purposes.

4. Not investing for the long term

WE ARE usually our own worst enemy when it comes to investing. When people get nervous, they tend to follow the herd, sell up and exit the market. Or often, they enter the market too late after a major rally - and pay the price.

Research shows clearly that if you miss out on too many of the market's big days, you can severely damage your long-term returns.

So, it is no wonder experts believe that, for most people, the way to beat the market is to stay invested instead of moving investments in and out in a bid to time the ups and downs.

5. Not factoring in accurate assumptions

WHEN working out their retirement sums, people typically make certain basic assumptions about the higher cost of living and their longevity.

Mr Strege says many underestimate the impact of inflation on their living expenses.

'If the inflation rate is 4 per cent, the cost of living will double every 18 years. This means that for someone retiring at 65, it will be twice as expensive to live when he turns 83 than at 65,' he says.

And health-care costs typically rise faster than general inflation, which can hit retirees particularly hard.

Financial planner Ian Heraud, the executive chairman of Australia-based Heraud Harrison, says it is dangerous to assume that one needs to spend less than they used to after retiring.

In conventional thinking about retirement income, many assume that 75 per cent of their last-drawn pay will be enough to sustain a comfortable lifestyle in retirement.

This might be true for some people, but future health-care costs could be higher than what most people assume.

Mr Heraud says: 'You shouldn't aim too low when deciding on your nest-egg goal. It is a lot more than people think.'

Another assumption is how many years one will live. Many people underestimate the number of years and thus the funds they will need.

6. Not managing your risks

A LOT of factors can derail your best- laid plans, including premature death, health concerns, property, loss of job, disability and liability.

The good news is that there are ways to manage some of these risks, for example, by transferring them to a third party through insurance or by having emergency funds for rainy days.

Experts typically advise setting aside three to six months' worth of emergency reserves to cover unknown expenses.

7. Not reviewing your financial plan periodically

MANY variables affecting a financial plan do not stay constant, such as personal goals, investments, markets and longevity.

Experts advise people to revise their plans once a year and make necessary adjustments.

8. Not identifying the right financial adviser

HERE are some warning signs that you should be alert to when selecting a financial adviser:

# He is not employed by or does not represent a licensed advisory business.

# He does not identify the client's needs and goals and does not adequately explain the complexities.

# He promotes a product without explaining the risks, while his costs are hidden in small print and not explained clearly.

And if you get an unexpected call from a stranger selling advice or products, be extra vigilant.

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Saturday, January 19, 2008

Passive Income: Ewen Chia

Yesterday while surfing around, I stumble upon Ewen Chia's website.
It strikes a bell on me as I came across a newspaper article about him where he earned a lot through internet marketing.

Just some background on him, he is a Singaporean and doing full time Internet Marketing.
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US Market Summary 18 Jan 08

Dow 12,099.30 -59.91 -0.49%
Nasdaq 2,340.02 -6.88 -0.29%
S&P 500 1,325.19 -8.06 -0.60%

When Bush finished announcing a plan for about $145 billion worth of tax relief, the indexes were well into negative territory.
This shows the displeasure by Wall Street by the size of the economic growth package.
I feel that unless Fed comes out with confirmed news of rate cut, US Market will continue to continue its decline next week.

If we are able to see Asia market stay strong in the morning, sell your stocks or index call warrants on rise.
Gather some puts to hedge as I predict a rough ride next week which might inch more towards the downside unless a more concrete plan is introduced by the Fed.

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Friday, January 18, 2008

US Market Summary 17 Jan 08

Dow 12,159.21 -306.95 -2.46%
Nasdaq 2,346.90 -47.69 -1.99%
S&P 500 1,333.25 -39.95 -2.91%

Seems like it was quite unexpected as the Philadelphia Federal Reserve said its survey of regional manufacturing activity registered a negative 20.9 from a revised reading of negative 1.6 in December. Thus, causing a panic drop as if you look back at Philadelphia Fed data for similar numbers, it takes you back to the 2001 to 2002 recession.

Asia Market may face a challenge today as it may plunge today.

Thursday, January 17, 2008

HSI and STI rebounds

As expected, HSI and STI ended on a positive note in view of a grossly oversold market. I believe the morning plunge causes some panic but if you stick to my call of buying on dips, you would be laughing your way to the bank now.

Tonight, we are expecting Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke to give his views of a possible stimulus package. I feel that it should be able to boost the market to end on a triple digit gain.

For tomorrow, you might want to consider buying on dips and selling on gains for HSI index warrants. As tomorrow is Friday, the strategy is to end your trades before 3, as profit taking might take place.

World Market Summary last 5 days

I have included a table on top summarizing the world market for the last 5 days, for the ease of us identifying the trend at a glance.

US Market Summary 16 Jan 08

Dow 12,466.16 -34.95 -0.28%
Nasdaq 2,394.59 -23.00 -0.95%
S&P 500 1,373.20 -7.75 -0.56%

Although US market close on a negative note, I believe HSI is grossly oversold yesterday. To be down nearly 1500, we should see some rebound today.
Thus, the play for today will be buy on the dips and sell on the rise, this is how it should be done for a volatile market like HSI.
But, all positions should be closed by the end of the day as we still do not have a clear indication of the direction ahead.

Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Top telco and IT execs get big bucks

Variable bonuses not even included in their annual income of up to $750,000

TOP managers in the information technology and telecommunications(IT&T)sector are the most handsomely paid in major Asian cities, including Singapore.

They take home up to $750,000 a year here, and this does not even include their variable bonuses, said Hudson, a leading executive recruitment firm in the region.

That is the highest after Hong Kong, where managing directors in the IT&T sector can
command an annual pay package of up to $916,000, according to the comprehensive
salary review, which also covers lesser management jobs.

Industry observers say that IT&T is not just one of the fastest growing businesses;
it is also the most competitive and is prepared to pay for talent, The Business Times reported yesterday.

By that measure, it is no surprise that the overcrowded retail industry in Singapore also pays top dollar for top managers – up to $400,000 yearly, according to Hudson.
That is the highest among managing directors in the retail business in the four locations under Hudson’s review.

According to some analysts, the higher pay here also reflects Singapore’s sharper edge as a shopping paradise. Hong Kong, where the top man in the retail business is the lowest paid among the four locations, has been losing out as a shopping hub in recent years.

Shanghai is the city to look out for as a fast-rising retail centre, analysts pointed out. Salaries of top management in the industry there are also shooting up.
While a retail MD in the Chinese city commands around $393,000 yearly, smaller retail
outfits in Singapore pay their top manager as low as

In Japan, the annual salary hits a floor of $236,000. Surprisingly, corporate finance
is not a top paymaster even though the banking and finance sector is a top performer,
at least in Singapore. Going by Hudson’s numbers, an MD in corporate finance in
Singapore is paid about $250,000 yearly – one of the lowest among top managers.

Even heads of the local public relations firms do better – they get up to $300,000 yearly. But analysts say a big chunk of the remuneration of corporate finance chiefs comes in the form of variable bonuses, which are not included in Hudson’s salary
review. Because of the focus on cities, Hudson’s salary review does
not offer much information on pay in manufacturing and industrial activity.

The latter is confined largely to regional headquarter functions like logistics, sales, and marketing procurement.

US Market Summary 15 Jan 08

Dow 12,501.11 -277.04 -2.17%
Nasdaq 2,417.59 -60.71 -2.45%
S&P 500 1,380.95 -35.30 -2.49%

As expected, US market is in a worst shape than before.
Citigroup loses almost $10B in 4Q lead to more possible negative news coming up.
The world markets might have a capitulation these few days, but don't preempt this yet.

Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Free Newsletter or Email updates

For those who wish to get updated of my new posts, you can register your email address under my Free Newsletter column at the sidebar.

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Monday, January 14, 2008

US Market Summary 14 Jan 08

Dow 12,778.15 +171.85 +1.36%
Nasdaq 2,478.30 +38.36 +1.57%
S&P 500 1,416.25 +15.23 +1.09%

IBM exceptional 4th quarter results causes stocks to rally in the US market.
As predicted, Asian markets should have a short rebound today.
Caution has to be practised as market could reverse and plunge again upon any negative news.

A sea of red

Today must be a sad day for traders and investors alike as they see a sea of red on the portfolio and the world market.
I have already pre-warned a volatile week ahead and urge those who do not have the capital to hold to stay sidelined for the time being.

If tonight US stay green, tomorrow we might see STI and HSI have a short rebound.
But then again, do not hastily jump into the wagon.
Preserve your capital and stay alive until stronger signals appear to indicate the market trend and direction.

Sunday, January 13, 2008

Live values of the revamped Straits Times Index (STI)

INVESTORS take note: Live values of the revamped Straits Times Index (STI), along with the 18 new FTSE ST indexes, will be available free on five websites once they are launched tomorrow.

This was announced jointly by Singapore Press Holdings, the Singapore Exchange and Britain's FTSE Group yesterday.

Market watchers will be able to obtain real-time index values of the revamped Straits Times Index (STI), along with the 18 new FTSE ST indexes at the following websites:

* Singapore Press Holdings:
* Singapore Exchange:
* NextView:
* ShareInvestor: and
* FTSE will display the end-of-day index values on its website at

International data vendors Reuters, Bloomberg, Telekurs, IDC, Thomson Financial and Factset will also carry values of the revamped STI and the new indexes.

Make your money work harder

MOST Singaporeans opt for safety first when it comes to investing their cash, but they still expect to reap decent returns.

The findings - from a global survey on retirement planning by French financial giant AXA Group - show that for many people, risk is something to avoid at all costs.

Sixty-seven per cent of working adults and 64 per cent of retirees in Singapore prefer products such as bank fixed deposits, which offer minimum returns without any financial risks, according to the survey.

In fact, 75 per cent left their savings in the Central Provident Fund (CPF) to earn an annual, risk-free interest of about 2.5 per cent or more.

Only 23 per cent of working Singaporeans and 13 per cent of the retirees were willing to accept a higher return with a higher financial risk.

Singapore's low-risk appetite is in line with global trends, with about 70 per cent preferring low-risk products.

AXA's annual survey, conducted in July and August last year, gauges attitudes towards retirement, health and how people want to spend their retirement.

It polled 18,202 people in 26 countries, including 300 working and 306 retired adults in Singapore.

Ms Annette King, chief marketing and strategy officer of AXA Life Insurance, said yesterday that setting goals and saving would not be enough when accumulating a nest egg.

She said Singaporeans should invest and make their money work harder.

She also believes many people are not aware of the opportunities they are missing by holding back from investing in other instruments, such as equities and unit trusts.

The survey also indicated another worrying local trend - heavy reliance on CPF for retirement funding.

Personal and employer contributions to the CPF, as well as SRS savings or maturity rollover plans, were the top three sources of retirement funding for Singaporeans, the survey found.

'The heavy reliance on CPF savings for retirement is worrying because these will provide only a quarter of the funds needed for the average Singaporean.

'Furthermore, 77 per cent of working Singaporeans use their CPF to pay for their property mortgage, so it is crucial to examine what remains of their CPF savings by the time they retire,' said Ms King.

Working Singaporeans typically start planning for retirement when they have children and on reaching 40 or 50 years of age.

There was a positive note in the survey: The average monthly amount saved for retirement here has increased from $824 in 2006 to $907 last year, higher than Britain's $627 and Canada's with $694.

Safety first

More working adults and retirees in Singapore prefer products such as bank fixed deposits, which offer minimum return without any financial risk, according to AXA's annual survey on retirement planning.

Saturday, January 12, 2008

US Market Summary 11 Jan 08

Dow 12,606.30 -246.79 -1.92%
Nasdaq 2,439.94 -48.58 -1.95%
S&P 500 1,401.02 -19.31 -1.36%

US end on a negative note on Friday amid renewed fears that the financial sector's troubles with bad credit won't soon end and that some consumers are buckling under the weight of a slowing economy.
I believe next week will be a choppy session for all stock markets and advise all to stay out or do intra day trading.
Since STI has broken the support of 3300, I believe it will go on a downtrend next week .

Friday, January 11, 2008

US Market Summary 10 Jan 08

Dow 12,853.09 +117.78 +0.92%
Nasdaq 2,488.52 +13.97 +0.56%
S&P 500 1,420.33 +11.20 +0.79%

Analysis: Bernanke Adopts Greenspan Tone - AP
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke borrowed a page from Alan Greenspan's crisis playbook when he promised emphatically to cut interest rates further if the weak economy needs the help.

Seems like the cycle continues as rate cut hopes spur the market again, will it stabilise the market this time round? or will it let US drop into recession sooner?
I think the signs will only be clearer next week.
For now I think a short term uptrend will be in place for the world market.

Thursday, January 10, 2008

How to invest and get rich

I always believe guidelines and discipline are must-have factors to possess when it comes to trading or investing in stocks.

Here's my 4 Golden Rules I have came up with:
- Set a target exit and cut-loss price before you buy
- Do not be greedy even though price has exceeded target exit
- Do not be emotional whilst hoping for miracle and cut loss when it reach the cut-loss price
- Be disciplined and follow the plan

If you can follow these 4 golden rules strictly, you can be assured of earning when you spot accurate breakouts.

Stock Picks: LC Dev, SNF, Ultro

Here are the stock picks as promised:

1. LC Dev

As seen in the chart above, volume is picking up for these two days signaling signs of breaking out. Next resistance is 0.465, once breakout of resistance will signal potential uptrend.

2. SNF Corp

This stock is one of the main focus for trading today as news states its proposed entry into Singapore''s healthcare sector through S$525 million acquisition of privately-held Healthway Medical Services. Target is one of country''s largest private outpatient medical service providers with more than 80 clinics. SNF, which used to distribute electronic products, will fund purchase with 2.62 billion shares at S$0.20/each, resulting in reverse takeover. Resistance is at 0.2, uptrend confirmed if breakout.

3. Ultro

This stock has been on my watchlist for quite some time as increasing volumes normally signals huge potential upside for this stock. Currently, this stock is giving clear signals again. Worth to take a punt.

Wednesday, January 9, 2008

Stock Pick: GMG [Results]

Congrats to those who have heeded my call yesterday in purchasing GMG despite the downtrend market!

From the intra day charts today, support is at 0.130 and the next resistance is at 0.16

I will go through the small caps data and post more stock picks tonight, so stay tuned guys.

US Market Summary 8 Jan 08

Dow 12,589.07 -238.42 -1.86%
Nasdaq 2,440.51 -58.95 -2.36%
S&P 500 1,390.19 -25.99 -1.84%

US market has broken all support, Asian market will most probably follow suit today and go on a downtrend. STI will confirm downtrend if break support of 3300.

Tuesday, January 8, 2008

Stock Pick: GMG

I have been monitoring wide spreads of small caps and since the change in the new bid sizes, small caps have been rather attractive.

GMG is a Singapore-based plantation group dedicated to long term investments in Central and West Africa. It is an integrated producer of natural rubber engaged in the planting, growing, tapping and processing of natural rubber. The Group's emphasis is on producing premium products for the European and US markets.

GMG has always been in my watchlist as it is low priced and the potential to rise is there.

Judging from the chart above, it is consolidating and signs of breakout is pending.
Once it goes past resistance of 0.135, counter will confirm the signs of uptrend.

Recommended Charting Software

For those who do not know, a good charting software is essential in identifying breaking out stocks.
I recommend to all Chartnexus which is a free offline charting software.

Personally, I find a few indicators useful, but it is up to individual to identify their own set of indicators.
Here's my few recommendations:
- Average Directional Index
- Moving Average
- Parabolic Stop and Reversal
- Price and Volume Trend
- Stochastic
- Volume MA

US Market Summary 7 Jan 08

Dow 12,827.49 +27.31 +0.21%
Nasdaq 2,499.46 -5.19 -0.21%
S&P 500 1,416.18 +4.55 +0.32%

US Market closes mixed as JPY/USD is holding on well.
Expecting a roller coaster ride for the Asian Markets today, thus intra day trading of buying on dips and selling on strength is still the way to go.

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